Example 12.10 from Statistics, 12.4 Prediction (Optional)
b. What would you predict the final exam score to be for a student who scored a 90 on the third exam?
Work it out on paper first. Then open the solution one step at a time, and stop as soon as you can finish on your own.
b. The x values in the data are between 65 and 75. 90 is outside the domain of the observed x values in the data (independent variable), so you cannot reliably predict the final exam score for this student. Even though it is possible to enter 90 into the equation for x and calculate a corresponding y value, the y value that you get will not be reliable.
To understand how unreliable the prediction can be outside the x values observed in the data, make the substitution x = 90 into the equation:
The final exam score is predicted to be 261.19. The most points that can be awarded for the final exam are 200.
How did it go?