Watch 400 nuclei decay at random, and a perfect curve emerge.
A grid of 400 radioactive nuclei, orange until they decay and grey afterwards; each one flashes red at the moment it decays. Press Play: every nucleus has the same chance of decaying in each instant, so decays happen at random, yet the number left falls by half in each half-life. A graph compares the actual count with the smooth exponential curve. Set the half-life in seconds and reset to run it again; each run is different, but always close to the curve.
Radioactive decay and half-life
InteractiveThe math, with your numbers
The real count wobbles around the curve, more so near the end when few nuclei are left: that's the randomness showing through.
Try this
Want to know why it behaves like this?
The lesson “Radioactivity & Nuclear Energy” explains it step by step: How can random decays add up to a clock you can set your watch by?